Economic Calendar
Key economic events, data releases, and central bank decisions — with market impact for MENA traders.
🔴 High-Impact Event This Week
US Non-Farm Payrolls — May 2026
📅 Friday, May 2, 2026
⏰ 08:30 ET / 16:30 GST
📊 Forecast: +185K | Prev: +228K
💱 Impacts: USD, Gold, Oil, Gulf pegs
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Impact
Region
Times shown in:
|
|
High Impact — major market move expected
Medium — moderate volatility
Low — minor data release
Beat Better than forecast
Miss Worse than forecast
Meet In-line with forecast
Monday, April 28, 2026 6 Events
| Time (ET) | Impact | Country | Event | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All Day |
🇯🇵Japan |
Bank of Japan Policy Decision Apr 2026 meeting Rate expected to hold at 0.50% |
0.50% |
0.50% |
0.50% | Central Bank | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
GDP Growth Rate (Advance) Q1 2026 Q1 2026 Annualised Trade impact may weigh on growth |
2.4% |
1.8% |
1.3% | GDP | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
PCE Price Index (Advance) Q1 2026 Q1 2026 QoQ Fed's preferred inflation measure |
2.4% |
2.6% |
3.5% | Inflation | |
09:00 ET 17:00 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
S&P/CS HPI Composite (Feb) February 2026 YoY |
4.5% |
4.4% |
Pending | Housing | |
10:00 ET 18:00 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Consumer Confidence (Apr) April 2026 Index |
92.9 |
90.0 |
Pending | Sentiment | |
10:00 ET 18:00 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
JOLTS Job Openings (Mar) March 2026 |
7.57M |
7.45M |
Pending | Employment |
Tuesday, April 29, 2026 7 Events
| Time (ET) | Impact | Country | Event | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03:55 ET 11:55 GST |
🇩🇪Germany |
Unemployment Rate (Apr) April 2026 |
6.3% |
6.3% |
Pending | Employment | |
05:00 ET 13:00 GST |
🇪🇺Eurozone |
GDP Flash Estimate Q1 2026 Q1 2026 QoQ / YoY EUR/USD sensitive, Bund yields react |
0.2% / 1.2% |
0.3% / 1.3% |
Pending | GDP | |
05:00 ET 13:00 GST |
🇪🇺Eurozone |
CPI Flash Estimate (Apr) April 2026 YoY Will guide ECB Jun decision |
2.2% |
2.1% |
Pending | Inflation | |
08:00 ET 16:00 GST |
🇸🇦S. Arabia |
Saudi Arabia GDP Growth (Q1 Prelim) Q1 2026 YoY Prelim Oil vs. non-oil sector split key |
1.4% |
2.2% |
Pending | GDP | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Employment Cost Index (Q1) Q1 2026 QoQ |
0.9% |
0.9% |
Pending | Employment | |
09:45 ET 17:45 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Chicago PMI (Apr) April 2026 |
47.6 |
46.2 |
Pending | PMI | |
17:30 ET 01:30 GST+1 |
🇦🇺Australia |
RBA Interest Rate Decision May 2026 Meeting Cut to 3.85% expected |
4.10% |
3.85% |
Pending | Central Bank |
Wednesday, April 30, 2026 6 Events
| Time (ET) | Impact | Country | Event | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03:00 ET 11:00 GST |
🇨🇳China |
Manufacturing PMI (Apr) April 2026 NBS Oil demand proxy — key for Gulf exporters |
50.5 |
50.0 |
Pending | PMI | |
04:00 ET 12:00 GST |
🇩🇪Germany |
Retail Sales (Mar) March 2026 MoM |
+1.0% |
+0.4% |
Pending | Retail | |
08:15 ET 16:15 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
ADP Non-Farm Employment (Apr) April 2026 MoM NFP preview — strong USD reaction |
+155K |
+140K |
Pending | Employment | |
09:45 ET 17:45 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) April 2026 |
49.0 |
48.5 |
Pending | PMI | |
10:30 ET 18:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
EIA Crude Oil Inventories (Weekly) Week ending Apr 25 Brent / WTI price reaction — direct MENA impact |
−2.4M |
−1.0M |
Pending | Energy | |
14:00 ET 22:00 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Fed Interest Rate Decision (FOMC) May 7, 2026 Meeting Hold at 4.25–4.50% expected. Press conference at 14:30 ET |
4.25–4.50% |
4.25–4.50% |
Pending | 🔴 Central Bank |
Thursday, May 1, 2026 5 Events
| Time (ET) | Impact | Country | Event | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All Day |
🇪🇺EU / MENA |
Labour Day / Market Holiday EU, Saudi Arabia German, French markets closed. Saudi Tadawul may observe. |
— |
— |
Holiday |
Holiday | |
07:00 ET 15:00 GST |
🇬🇧UK |
Bank of England Rate Decision May 8, 2026 Meeting Cut to 4.25% expected. GBP/USD reactive |
4.50% |
4.25% |
Pending | Central Bank | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly) Week ending Apr 26 NFP directional signal |
222K |
220K |
Pending | Employment | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Unit Labor Costs (Q1 Prelim) Q1 2026 |
2.2% |
2.5% |
Pending | Inflation | |
10:00 ET 18:00 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Factory Orders (Mar) March 2026 MoM |
0.6% |
−0.4% |
Pending | Manufacturing |
Friday, May 2, 2026 — NFP Day 🔴 High-Impact
| Time (ET) | Impact | Country | Event | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Non-Farm Payrolls (Apr) April 2026 MoM Most market-moving US release. Impacts USD, Gold, Oil, Gulf pegs |
+228K |
+185K |
Pending | 🔴 Employment | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Unemployment Rate (Apr) April 2026 Released simultaneously with NFP |
4.2% |
4.2% |
Pending | Employment | |
08:30 ET 16:30 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
Average Hourly Earnings (Apr) April 2026 MoM / YoY Wage inflation proxy — Fed watches closely |
+0.3% / 3.8% |
+0.3% / 3.8% |
Pending | Wages | |
09:45 ET 17:45 GST |
🇺🇸USA |
ISM Services PMI (Apr) April 2026 Services >55 = USD bullish |
53.8 |
52.6 |
Pending | PMI | |
All Day |
🇸🇦OPEC+ |
OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting (Output Quota Review) May 2026 Brent crude price sensitive. Saudi Aramco & Gulf budgets impacted |
— |
— |
TBD | Energy / MENA |
Why These Events Matter to MENA Traders
US NFP & Dollar Peg
Gulf currencies are pegged to the USD. A stronger-than-expected NFP print tightens GCC financial conditions automatically.
EIA Inventories & Oil Revenue
Gulf states derive most government revenue from oil. Weekly EIA inventory data is the most direct short-term mover for Brent and WTI, affecting sovereign budgets.
Fed Decision & Gulf Rates
SAMA, CBUAE, and GCC central banks mirror Fed decisions within 24 hours due to USD pegs. A Fed cut directly lowers mortgage and credit rates across the GCC.
China PMI & MENA Exports
China is the largest importer of Gulf oil. A strong Chinese manufacturing PMI signals higher energy demand, supporting oil prices and Gulf sovereign revenues.
ECB/BoE & Euro/Sterling Assets
Gulf sovereign wealth funds hold large European equity and real estate portfolios. ECB and BoE decisions affect EUR/GBP valuations of these assets.
OPEC+ Output Decisions
Saudi Arabia leads OPEC+. Quota decisions affect Aramco revenues, Vision 2030 funding, and the ~$80–$90/bbl breakeven price for Gulf budgets.
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