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Economic Calendar

Key economic events, data releases, and central bank decisions — with market impact for MENA traders.

🔴 High-Impact Event This Week
US Non-Farm Payrolls — May 2026
📅 Friday, May 2, 2026 08:30 ET / 16:30 GST 📊 Forecast: +185K | Prev: +228K 💱 Impacts: USD, Gold, Oil, Gulf pegs
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Impact
Region
Times shown in: | |
High Impact — major market move expected
Medium — moderate volatility
Low — minor data release
Beat Better than forecast
Miss Worse than forecast
Meet In-line with forecast
Monday, April 28, 2026 6 Events
Time (ET) Impact Country Event Previous Forecast Actual Category
All Day
🇯🇵Japan
Bank of Japan Policy Decision
Apr 2026 meeting
Rate expected to hold at 0.50%
0.50%
0.50%
0.50% Central Bank
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
GDP Growth Rate (Advance) Q1 2026
Q1 2026 Annualised
Trade impact may weigh on growth
2.4%
1.8%
1.3% GDP
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
PCE Price Index (Advance) Q1 2026
Q1 2026 QoQ
Fed's preferred inflation measure
2.4%
2.6%
3.5% Inflation
09:00 ET
17:00 GST
🇺🇸USA
S&P/CS HPI Composite (Feb)
February 2026 YoY
4.5%
4.4%
Pending Housing
10:00 ET
18:00 GST
🇺🇸USA
Consumer Confidence (Apr)
April 2026 Index
92.9
90.0
Pending Sentiment
10:00 ET
18:00 GST
🇺🇸USA
JOLTS Job Openings (Mar)
March 2026
7.57M
7.45M
Pending Employment
Tuesday, April 29, 2026 7 Events
Time (ET) Impact Country Event Previous Forecast Actual Category
03:55 ET
11:55 GST
🇩🇪Germany
Unemployment Rate (Apr)
April 2026
6.3%
6.3%
Pending Employment
05:00 ET
13:00 GST
🇪🇺Eurozone
GDP Flash Estimate Q1 2026
Q1 2026 QoQ / YoY
EUR/USD sensitive, Bund yields react
0.2% / 1.2%
0.3% / 1.3%
Pending GDP
05:00 ET
13:00 GST
🇪🇺Eurozone
CPI Flash Estimate (Apr)
April 2026 YoY
Will guide ECB Jun decision
2.2%
2.1%
Pending Inflation
08:00 ET
16:00 GST
🇸🇦S. Arabia
Saudi Arabia GDP Growth (Q1 Prelim)
Q1 2026 YoY Prelim
Oil vs. non-oil sector split key
1.4%
2.2%
Pending GDP
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
Employment Cost Index (Q1)
Q1 2026 QoQ
0.9%
0.9%
Pending Employment
09:45 ET
17:45 GST
🇺🇸USA
Chicago PMI (Apr)
April 2026
47.6
46.2
Pending PMI
17:30 ET
01:30 GST+1
🇦🇺Australia
RBA Interest Rate Decision
May 2026 Meeting
Cut to 3.85% expected
4.10%
3.85%
Pending Central Bank
Wednesday, April 30, 2026 6 Events
Time (ET)ImpactCountryEvent PreviousForecast ActualCategory
03:00 ET
11:00 GST
🇨🇳China
Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
April 2026 NBS
Oil demand proxy — key for Gulf exporters
50.5
50.0
Pending PMI
04:00 ET
12:00 GST
🇩🇪Germany
Retail Sales (Mar)
March 2026 MoM
+1.0%
+0.4%
Pending Retail
08:15 ET
16:15 GST
🇺🇸USA
ADP Non-Farm Employment (Apr)
April 2026 MoM
NFP preview — strong USD reaction
+155K
+140K
Pending Employment
09:45 ET
17:45 GST
🇺🇸USA
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
April 2026
49.0
48.5
Pending PMI
10:30 ET
18:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
EIA Crude Oil Inventories (Weekly)
Week ending Apr 25
Brent / WTI price reaction — direct MENA impact
−2.4M
−1.0M
Pending Energy
14:00 ET
22:00 GST
🇺🇸USA
Fed Interest Rate Decision (FOMC)
May 7, 2026 Meeting
Hold at 4.25–4.50% expected. Press conference at 14:30 ET
4.25–4.50%
4.25–4.50%
Pending 🔴 Central Bank
Thursday, May 1, 2026 5 Events
Time (ET)ImpactCountryEvent PreviousForecast ActualCategory
All Day
🇪🇺EU / MENA
Labour Day / Market Holiday
EU, Saudi Arabia
German, French markets closed. Saudi Tadawul may observe.
Holiday
Holiday
07:00 ET
15:00 GST
🇬🇧UK
Bank of England Rate Decision
May 8, 2026 Meeting
Cut to 4.25% expected. GBP/USD reactive
4.50%
4.25%
Pending Central Bank
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly)
Week ending Apr 26
NFP directional signal
222K
220K
Pending Employment
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
Unit Labor Costs (Q1 Prelim)
Q1 2026
2.2%
2.5%
Pending Inflation
10:00 ET
18:00 GST
🇺🇸USA
Factory Orders (Mar)
March 2026 MoM
0.6%
−0.4%
Pending Manufacturing
Friday, May 2, 2026 — NFP Day 🔴 High-Impact
Time (ET)ImpactCountryEvent PreviousForecast ActualCategory
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
Non-Farm Payrolls (Apr)
April 2026 MoM
Most market-moving US release. Impacts USD, Gold, Oil, Gulf pegs
+228K
+185K
Pending 🔴 Employment
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
Unemployment Rate (Apr)
April 2026
Released simultaneously with NFP
4.2%
4.2%
Pending Employment
08:30 ET
16:30 GST
🇺🇸USA
Average Hourly Earnings (Apr)
April 2026 MoM / YoY
Wage inflation proxy — Fed watches closely
+0.3% / 3.8%
+0.3% / 3.8%
Pending Wages
09:45 ET
17:45 GST
🇺🇸USA
ISM Services PMI (Apr)
April 2026
Services >55 = USD bullish
53.8
52.6
Pending PMI
All Day
🇸🇦OPEC+
OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting (Output Quota Review)
May 2026
Brent crude price sensitive. Saudi Aramco & Gulf budgets impacted
TBD Energy / MENA
Why These Events Matter to MENA Traders
US NFP & Dollar Peg
Gulf currencies are pegged to the USD. A stronger-than-expected NFP print tightens GCC financial conditions automatically.
EIA Inventories & Oil Revenue
Gulf states derive most government revenue from oil. Weekly EIA inventory data is the most direct short-term mover for Brent and WTI, affecting sovereign budgets.
Fed Decision & Gulf Rates
SAMA, CBUAE, and GCC central banks mirror Fed decisions within 24 hours due to USD pegs. A Fed cut directly lowers mortgage and credit rates across the GCC.
China PMI & MENA Exports
China is the largest importer of Gulf oil. A strong Chinese manufacturing PMI signals higher energy demand, supporting oil prices and Gulf sovereign revenues.
ECB/BoE & Euro/Sterling Assets
Gulf sovereign wealth funds hold large European equity and real estate portfolios. ECB and BoE decisions affect EUR/GBP valuations of these assets.
OPEC+ Output Decisions
Saudi Arabia leads OPEC+. Quota decisions affect Aramco revenues, Vision 2030 funding, and the ~$80–$90/bbl breakeven price for Gulf budgets.